Tax Credits

As I noted last month, Colorado's ~321,000 individual health insurance market enrollees are currently staring down the barrel of massive premium hikes less than four months from today:

• Perhaps 96,000 unsubsidized Coloradans are looking at average rate hikes of over 28%.

• Another ~225,000 or so enrollees who are currently receiving federal subsidies will be hit with net increases of as much as 200%, 300% or even more.

Every state government is handling this situation differently. In Arkansas and New Hampshire, the strategy seems to be to either shout at or beg carriers to re-file with lower gross premium increases for 2026. New Mexico, California and New Jersey, in contrast, are all retooling their existing state-based supplemental subsidy programs to help cushion at least some of the impact.

Presented with some comment (but mostly with a link to my state-by-state analysis of how much ACA exchange premiums are likely to skyrocket less than 6 months from now if the IRA subsidies expire):

via Politico, which has acquired the results of a poll conducted by Fabrizio/Ward, which is Donald Trump's own polling firm:

Our survey of voters in the most competitive Congressional Districts shows Republicans have an opportunity to overcome a current generic ballot deficit and take the lead by extending the healthcare premium tax credits for those who purchase health insurance for themselves. Without Congressional action, the tax credit expires this year.